That link again: Coalition of Hope: 'Tehran No Longer Considers Saudi Arabia as Its Regional Rival' – Mid East Expert. Andrei Martyanov's new book is about The (Real) Revolution in Military Affairs. It sometimes seems like Trump's utterances and policies are deliberately divisively incoherent. Change ), You are commenting using your Facebook account. Then add the statement released by Germany UK and France in the last few hours is even more of an indicator. However, it ain't gonna work, so the scam of the future will be making money off the inexorable decline of the US population, its ailing health, increasing "vice", etc., by, e.g., getting the gov't to pay for Suboxone treatment vel sim for the opioid crisis the gov't knowingly created. Posted by: steven t johnson | Sep 24 2019 15:14 utc | 100. A Senator said the reason the US government hasn’t dealt with the fentanyl crisis is inertia. country by country chais is introduced, and no development, education happens. To expect mercy from jackals is a fool's errand, and the freaks that are promoted now will be the worst tyrants imaginable should they have the chance. While its collapse is tangible, the outcome of such a collapse remains a matter of speculation and public debate. The answer to both questions is a definitive ‘yes’, according to Andrei Martyanov in his book The Real Revolution in Military Affairs (2019, Clarity Press), which should make very uncomfortable reading for Western politicians and military commanders. Posted by: vk | Sep 24 2019 0:27 utc | 45. vk These products and services have a vital feature in common: They match online data, generated by China’s digitally native consumer masses, with a vast storehouse of “offline” data and insight amassed over three decades in the insurance business. The rot is systemic and extends to the educational sphere. Posted by: Ethan Allen | Sep 24 2019 4:22 utc | 58. I wonder what would happen if someone supplies manpads and anti-tank weaponry to the Taliban? China with its belt and road initiatives is providing a multipolar economic model as a different model than the US moving in to steal resources using the IMF and World Bank to put countries in debt rather than assist them in meaningful ways. Edward Halpin. Although it took a little getting used to, I decided to read the book as if it were a  transcript from staff college lectures. This looked like a false flag to me from the very beginning. And, btw, it takes 1 minute for russian submarine launched hypersonic missile to hit the White House or the Pentagon. Strategy and the Revolution in Military Affairs: From Theory to Policy: Strategic Studies Institute. This bloc is likely to exclude the US, or at least to engage on restricted terms. A capability the US currently does not have. They have made their decision with UK, France, Germany all now standing on the US side. I am wondering if Iran is it. Yup, it is shocking that these russian savages can develop something better than the US, right? In making this point, I am going beyond what Martyanov says. They show the need for a good layered air defense and electronic counter measures. RMA has generally been praised for its ability to reduce casualty rates and facilitate intelligence gathering. Posted by: spudski | Sep 24 2019 14:07 utc | 96, Posted by: Jackrabbit | Sep 24 2019 14:43 utc | 97. After loosing his chauffeur to a very unusual high speed auto crash Putin had built a credible new armoured limousine brand. Posted by: karlof1 | Sep 24 2019 4:31 utc | 60. document.write(''); Their students regularly win math and physics olympiads. Everything you ever wanted to know about Quantum Supremacy but were afraid to ask: https://www.scottaaronson.com/blog/?p=4317, Posted by: FKA_Realist | Sep 24 2019 0:02 utc | 43, @ Posted by: c1ue | Sep 23 2019 23:12 utc | 38. This is a real problem for the countries that play host to US bases in the area. I told you so. Posted by: Harry Law | Sep 24 2019 8:36 utc | 82. Perhaps US is being hung by it's own petard in this sense? Andrei Martyanov's new book is about The (Real) Revolution in Military Affairs. The world would be engulfed in a nuclear holocaust destroying all including Russia before the US would be defeated. A good example of this might be Top Gun: the 90s classic and its forthcoming sequel, Top Gun: Maverick, still apparently dominate the thinking of both civil and military leaders. Washington seems incapable of recognizing that it cannot win a war with its traditional military options. The Soviet concept on the matter was more "The difference of attitude and support towards allies is enormous. ( Log Out /  Last year, Ping An’s customers used this feature to settle 7.3 million claims, or 62% of the total. Furthermore, NATO armies, particularly the US, are highly networked – but they operate on the assumption that their command and control systems are safely protected behind the battlefield. Posted by: karlof1 | Sep 23 2019 19:58 utc | 8, Weapons technology is open to everyone, that is why Iran has decided to home produce weapons best suited to its circumstances, notably its missile systems [not having good aircraft] its purchase of the Russian S300 has enabled it to introduce its own anti aircraft systems like the Bavar 373 which is a much improved version of the S300, also other missiles like the one that brought the state of the art US drone down recently, it is only a matter of time before Hezbollah acquire copies from Iran, then Israel’s air force will be neutered., hence the reason US/Israel are going ape shit on the Iranian missiles, [nothing to do with nuclear activity]hence the US abandonment of the JCPOA at the behest of Israel. Posted by: Uncle Jon | Sep 23 2019 20:55 utc | 15. There are numerous events that activists ought to register to attend as little of what's presented ever gets media exposure--events like Sustainability Comes of Age and Sustainable Finance to name just two of dozens. Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Sep 24 2019 7:10 utc | 74, Shoigu also had this to say "When, however, you think, as the United States continue to do so out of inertia, that the balance is in their favor, you may have all kinds of ideas, including not very good ones, coming to you mind.". The US is "a warrior culture" - ? Posted by: Parisian Guy | Sep 24 2019 2:57 utc | 56. Posted by: Pft | Sep 23 2019 22:16 utc | 31. But realized in the 90s by some simulations. It will be interesting which nations walk out prior to Rouhani's talk. Posted by: steven t johnson | Sep 23 2019 23:51 utc | 42. It is a cancer.””. Network centric warfare and precision strikes were both predicted to change the way wars are fought. China is in early stages of a lunar base, built on the far side of the moon. Like piloted warcraft, giant ships too, all these things have long been understood to be on the way out. US for example will not see any of this rationally and try to come up with a formula for ....from wherever....This means your pension will go to finance the MIC who nrutures NATO for US wars.... Posted by: Sasha | Sep 23 2019 21:46 utc | 23. Additionally, given the conservative nature of a scientific consensus, the probability of it being much worse is also very high. But in the current mode it is still locking for more incapable F-35 planes, radar visible 'stealth' bombers, littoral combat ships that are actually unarmed fast boats and aircraft carriers that come at some $15 billion a piece but are useless against a peer competitor. Crooke allows Gareth Porter to weigh-in: "Understanding Porter’s message represents the key to comprehending the nature of the ‘Great Shift’ taking place in the region. Public pundits in the U.S. have considerable influence over political decisions about war and peace. The game played by Macron seeking truth afterwards is telling also. All of this means that the military environment has changed dramatically. The contributors to this volume seek to explore the multi-dimensional (institutional, cultural, technological, and political) environments of several Asian states to determine the amenability of those host environments for the adoption/adaptation of the Revolution in Military Affairs … And for this, submarine drones are right tools. Since the founding of the USSR -- which never had any formal succession process and thus made every succession a civil war -- continuity in Russia's supreme command has always been a coin flip. Indeed, the entire previous calculus within the Gulf region that existed in 2003 has completely changed, as I believe you wrote yourself. Get all allies But a significant number of casualties, ignominious withdrawal *and* a foe left with enough to move forward, not just work a few decades to recover. Edition 1st Edition. Instead, customers can snap photos of a damaged vehicle and send them to a Ping An computer, which can respond with a repair estimate in three minutes or less. Excellent comment. Book War in the Modern World, 1990–2014. However, it is possible that turns out to be the case once Putin is gone. My point anyway, is that often the MIC (Military Industrial Complex) is designing for money, rather than to defend. The russians and chinese by fielding their new hypersonics systems are demonstrating their lead in material sciences. The problem is: how do you test it? That is how I understand it. Capitalist states defend capitalist property. Try to undermine, weaken. IMO, what we will soon hear/read/see is a well thought out proposal, refined via numerous meetings with Iranian and Russian officials and shared with the Turks and Iran's regional allies. Not repeatable and equally not useful. Biddle does all these things, helping the reader understand modern warfare more than does any other book on the market. Posted by: Michael | Sep 23 2019 22:30 utc | 33. Any thoughts on the commentary here? The scientific method consists of testing hypotheses that can be falsified by rigorous and well-designed experiments. In particular, for it to be truly useful, the quantum computers need to be 1000 bits or more - in order to handle the ginormous problems they're really needed for. ( Log Out /  Russian professional writing is more conversational than is usual in Western professional writing, and this is definitely reflected in Martyanov’s style. Posted by: Hippie Jim | Sep 24 2019 4:48 utc | 67. Korea, Vietnam, Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria? Russia needs the US as a threat so it can keep spending on the military. Expecting grotesque misconduct and corruption from Israeli or American governments akin to these authoritarian cesspools would be a prescription for global disaster. The war in Vietnam should have shown that guerrilla or asymmetric warfare proved that belief false. I still believe both that Russia is BS on its weapons and that such strategic panaceas are still, in the long run, folly. That's just a ploy. The Chinese military has developed a ballistic missile, Dong Feng 21, specifically designed to kill US aircraft carriers: “Because the missile employs a complex guidance system, low radar signature and a maneuverability that makes its flight path unpredictable, the odds that it can evade tracking systems to reach its target are increased. etc. It might spend much of its time discussing weapons systems, but what it’s really about is international relations. ga('create', 'UA-225723-36', 'auto'); I said "potentially" because we have to see what will come next. Meanwhile, the recognition of your vulnerability and a wish to maintain balance and universal equal security "makes you turn your head on," the defense minister said, also stressing that the number of threats to Russia is not declining. The US military recognizes the benefit of perpetual war to keep budgets growing. One cause of this loss is at the core of Martyanov's earlier book LOSING MILITARY SUPREMACY: The Myopia of American Strategic Planning. But other major countries being treated similarly are beginning to notice, especially Russia and China (also western enemies), plus thanks to western missteps Iran has been successful in supplanting the US in the Middle East. I don't think Russia uses the USA as an "enemy out there" in order to legitimize growing defense budgets at the people's expense. “I’ve been saying for a long time that aircraft carriers are just history’s most expensive floating targets, and that they were doomed. Posted by: karlof1 | Sep 23 2019 21:57 utc | 24. Now it's betting its future on inventive uses of big data—and gearing up to do battle with fast-growing tech giants like Alibaba. The war in Afghanistan, the Gulf war, and the NATO bombardment of Kosovo show clearly how advances in information technology are driving a high-tech revolution in military affairs (RMA) and transforming the nature of modern warfare. I doubt very much that any indication of his replacement will be made public, but that careful attention is been given to the succession. Here is an article that looks at one of the most wasteful programs that has been undertaken by the U.S. military: https://viableopposition.blogspot.com/2019/07/the-united-states-navy-and-its-littoral.html. US exploiting the Russia threat in the same way, we need more weapons to match Russia and more money to pay for them. Putin is already in his last mandate and doesn't have too much time left to live if we're to consider the average male life expectancy in Russia. First of all, Martyanov explains that the entire American way of war is obsolete. Adults have let them down and ruined their youth and whatnot. The military rarely, if ever, learns from history, or the failures of other nation's armed forces. This obese, diabetic populace needs more than boot camp to defeat its leaner Asian enemies, something more like the zero gravity Space Farce Godfather Don has proposed. })(window,document,'script','//www.google-analytics.com/analytics.js','ga'); Magnier also writes about the significance this episode has for regional politics as did the scholar cited in the Sputnik item I cited above. How can any cryptographic algorithm be tested across 2exp50 states to show that it works correctly? Otherwise, US enters more countries under whatever pretext and method — and @Peter AU 1 #40 | Sep 24 2019 13:10 utc | 90. It is official doctrine that such a defeat will be reversed---in terms of retribution---by nukes. Magnier notes the great difference in how Iran and the Outlaw US Empire conduct policy in the region: "Iran is confirming that gathering US personnel and military war equipment in the Middle East does not necessarily demonstrate real strength and military superiority, but rather an unjustified financial burden on the host countries! Consensus is a political ethos, not a scientific one. For silicon, the mechanism was reduced geometry. They are not detectable nor can be hit by torpedoes. As far as I know, China was using it through optic fibre when many were still wondering if quantum communications was possible. This book studies the impact of cultural factors on the course of military innovations. I have longed maintained that the only thing that stands behind the dollar is military superiority. BRITAIN HEADING FOR CONSTITUTIONAL CRISIS? The book reflects this background. Posted by: karlof1 | Sep 24 2019 0:44 utc | 47. Posted by: VietnamVet | Sep 23 2019 21:08 utc | 18, My theory is that the reason why US radar/surveillance didn't pick up the Houthi drones is that they were purposely designed NOT to detect low flying drones, so that drug dealers could keep bringing in drugs into the U.S. with impunity. @Peter AU 1 #13 For 2exp50 states, any message if say, less than War and Peace length has uncounted numbers of duplicate cryptography outcomes. I guess that may have changed as the drone governor there became president and then the replacement drone failed acceptance testing in 2016. --Mike Hastie, U.S. Army Medic, Vietnam 1970-71, Posted by: Don Bacon | Sep 23 2019 20:18 utc | 11. Andrei Martyanov's book provides indispensable knowledge for anyone who wants to understand the current geo-political developments. Those that don't have quantum communication may as well post everything to a public message board. A revolution in military affairs (RMA) is a hypothesis in military theory about the future of warfare, often connected to technological and organizational recommendations for military reform.. Unfortunately most of these 'experts' fail to correctly measure geo-political power. In short, US has no need to attack either. Really? But Iran announcement in UNGA will reach the ears of masses of Arab peoples. They take it for granted that they themselves are untouchable; hypersonic cruise missiles mean they can actually be personally targetted upon outbreak of war). Posted by: Sol Invictus | Sep 24 2019 4:46 utc | 64, Posted by: Norwegian | Sep 24 2019 4:47 utc | 65. And this is why US weapons have become increasingly obsolete yet a lot more expensive. McGill-Queen’s University Press. Nuke Washington from orbit. They gambled by relying on such a large US presence and military apparatus that have now revealed themselves incapable of defending themselves, the main customers and hosts – having spent hundreds of billions of dollars on US weapons and equipment. Nevertheless, if we accept his position that hypersonic missiles are weapons against which there is no defence, then Donald Trump’s foreign policy makes a great deal of sense: withdrawing from littoral conflicts, disengaging with China, seeking better relations with Russia, establishing a Space Force all reflect the new reality. Additionally, given the conservative nature of a scientific consensus, the probability of it being much worse is also very high. The other is about the self-medicating and propagandistic version of reality that Americans mistake for reality. That hasn't happened during the last 30 years. By Jeremy Black. To generate accurate estimates, Ping An matches photos of vehicle damage against a database of 25 million parts used in the 60,000 different auto makes and models sold in China. Iran had consistently tried by mediators to convince BinSaw to negotiate and reduce tensions in region. Paperback – January 28, 2013. by Steven Metz (Author), James Kievit (Author) See all formats and editions. Army is an element of the estate machine. (As an aside, Martyanov points out that US political & military leaders may come to regret making personal attacks on leaders of the countries they wish to destabilise, such as Saddam Hussein. 2018 Moscow Victory Day Parade by kremlin.ru, CC BY 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=68926303. Hide other formats and editions. What is the mechanism for quantum? In case of attack on Iran — no matter how limited, the regional chaos and paralysis It is estimated that the missile can travel at mach 10 and reach its maximum range of 2000km in less than 12 minutes.” With their crap announcement late today, UK, France and Germany show they're beyond stuck-up and constipated in the most extreme manner as no amount of laxative will loosen their minds from their asses. Other state may soon have similar capabilities as Russia (and China) are now fielding. ; "paralysed" as a strategy; quantum computing; etc. Change ), You are commenting using your Google account. Posted by: nietzsche1510 | Sep 24 2019 7:41 utc | 79, the armed forces of whatever country you care to name, are always prepared to fight the last war. GFY." There will be massive migrations that will cause more war. It's only a matter of time till the Jewish-dominated Empire is found wanting, no matter what smoke and mirrors the defense contractors pull out of their collective hats. While its collapse is tangible, the outcome of such a collapse remains a matter of speculation and public debate. on self-perceived entitlement to be better — there is a danger of none of this being heard. The article talks about how a Moore's law can exist for quantum, but I didn't see an actual mechanism. two decades. storage tank strikes, which I've said before has markings of a synchronous high altitude drop. The information revolution in the civilian world is driving rapid advances in military technologies, most notably in computers, telecommunications, sensors, and precision-guided munitions. The Revolution in Military Affairs (RMA) remains one of the most publicized, yet least understood, concepts among contemporary defense analysts. Danger of just one country mastering AI https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2KIlMKtETEY, China - quantum computing and AI https://www.wired.co.uk/article/quantum-computing-china-us. The new extremely fast anti-ship missiles Russia developed make the U.S. fleet of aircraft carriers groups useless in a larger war against a competent enemy. The change in strategic balance is certainly incorporated into Rouhani's peace/security proposal as this article notes that the vaunted weapons of the Outlaw US Empire and its reluctance to militarily engage the nation it accused of the attack while offering zero poof all failed to do what their promoters have sold since the First Gulf War--there's no monopoly on Shock and Awe anymore. Imperialism will not abandon the flow of energy and say good by. Robot planes and drones – simply – have changed the calculus of war. Posted by: Jen | Sep 24 2019 11:49 utc | 86. It reviews some models which are useful in assessing the current geopolitical situation. I imagine Houthi costs are something similar. Not live to see what will come next at about $ 15 billion per year top. 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Which always featured carrier air power ; land war won due to air superiority book review: the of. They will behave... '' - the neocons ' song combat are a endeavor. Changed, as in India, South Africa, and technology and ruined their youth and whatnot the Yeltsinite against.: Implications for Canada and NATO on quantum computing, please visit my comment here essentially on self-perceived entitlement be. Arabia as its only regional rival ' – Mid East expert weapons no... Ideal comparative case study of rma, both from above by the West is to.